Polymarket Bettors Shift Stance on CLARITY Act Passage Odds

Prediction market participants now assign just a 35% probability to the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act becoming law by 2025, according to Polymarket data. This marks a dramatic reversal from July's 87% confidence level, reflecting growing skepticism about the bill's near-term prospects.

Senator Cynthia Lummis remains bullish on the legislation's chances, telling attendees at the SALT Wyoming Blockchain Symposium that she expects committee progress by October. The Wyoming Republican has set an ambitious target for presidential approval before Thanksgiving, though market participants appear unconvinced.

The CLARITY Act's potential impact on digital asset regulation has made it a bellwether for institutional crypto adoption. Its fluctuating odds on prediction markets serve as a real-time barometer of Washington's capacity for blockchain policy reform.